Santa Fe 0-3 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.62/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.14
-47% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
231 Passes 291
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
30.06.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-2 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
25.06.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
15.04.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
19.10.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
11.02.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin swept aside Santa Fe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Independiente Medellin made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Fe and 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Santa Fe 0-3 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Cup on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 39%, draw 26%, Independiente Medellin 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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