Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Medellin 1-1 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin and Santa Fe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Independiente Medellin at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 65% of the ball to Santa Fe's 35%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.91 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellin 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 60%, draw 22%, Santa Fe 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No went the other way.