La Equidad 0-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 55%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -25%
0.55/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.71
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
12.5 Crosses 16.3
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.88 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 297
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 2-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
11.08.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 5-1 HT 3-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
24.05.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
19.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-3 HT 2-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
11.02.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.24 xG 1.07
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
146 Passes 543
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima beat La Equidad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 26% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 74%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.24 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for La Equidad and 2.33 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima?

La Equidad 0-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 27%, draw 25%, Deportes Tolima 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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