Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macarthur v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
Macarthur 4-0 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Macarthur cruised past Wellington Phoenix 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Macarthur found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
On the day, Macarthur had 55% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 45%, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 2.88 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Macarthur and 1.83 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix?
Macarthur 4-0 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 38%, draw 23%, Wellington Phoenix 39%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix), BTTS Yes went the other way.