Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 51% of the ball to Santa Fe's 49%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.86 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.00 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 46%, draw 30%, Santa Fe 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.