Sporting CP U23 2-1 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.49
-36% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2026 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
05.10.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-1 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
21.08.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
02.04.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
23.01.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-2 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
01.11.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
2-1
AWAY Benfica U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 nicked a narrow win over Benfica U23 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 45% of the ball to Benfica U23's 55%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 2.17 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Sporting CP U23 2-1 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 31%, draw 23%, Benfica U23 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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