St George City FA 1-4 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 57%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.54
-20% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.79 xG 1.37
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
330 Passes 146
75% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
26.05.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 1-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
17.02.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 1-2 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
21.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-2 HT 2-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
04.02.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-4 HT 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden cruised past St George City FA 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for St George City FA and 2.40 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden?

St George City FA 1-4 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 29%, draw 24%, Rockdale Ilinden 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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