Metta / LU Riga 0-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
60%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.0pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.0pp
60%
Away Win
81%
-21.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 85%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.60/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.72
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +42%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
211 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.1
11.9 Crosses 29.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Riga FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.56 xG 3.16
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
232 Passes 550
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 56
12 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
03.11.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
10.08.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-4 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 5-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
21.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
03.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0-3
AWAY Riga FC
0.44 xG 0.92
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
178 Passes 521
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC swept aside Metta / LU Riga 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 31% of the ball to Riga FC's 69%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.44 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC?

Metta / LU Riga 0-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 18%, draw 22%, Riga FC 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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