Nashville SC 2-1 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
7%
7.87
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.5
2/2
11%
5.97
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.87/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.35
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.7 Crosses 13.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New York City FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 Passes 423
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2025 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
31.05.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 2-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
06.10.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 3-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
23.06.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
16.04.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
26.02.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-1
AWAY New York City FC
0.93 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
395 Passes 428
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Nashville SC vs New York City FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nashville SC edged past New York City FC 2-1 in the USA - Major League on 24 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 48% of the ball to New York City FC's 52%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.93 to 1.49.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nashville SC and 1.50 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs New York City FC?

Nashville SC 2-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 53%, draw 23%, New York City FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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