San Diego 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.89
Over 2.5
71%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.38
No
32%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.28
2-3 Goals
35%
2.09
4-5 Goals
28%
2.43
6+ Goals
20%
4.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.55
1/2
4%
19.3
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
6%
7.67
X/2
18%
5.28
X/X
10%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/2
27%
2.57
2/X
4%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.9pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.7pp
29%
Under 2.5
31%
-1.7pp
71%
Over 2.5
69%
+1.7pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
-0.7pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 51%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.12/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.05
+10% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
15.6 Crosses 19.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.29 xG 2.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
470 Passes 362
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2025 San Diego 1-3 HT 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
20.07.2025 San Diego 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
26.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 HT 1-3 San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
2-4
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.86 xG 4.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 4
503 Passes 453
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps saw off San Diego 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, San Diego had 53% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 47%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.86 to 4.67.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for San Diego and 2.33 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

San Diego 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split San Diego 31%, draw 19%, Vancouver Whitecaps 50%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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