Gremio vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Santos
BR1
Gremio 3-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio squeezed past Santos 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Gremio had 50% of the ball to Santos's 50%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.92 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gremio and 1.00 for Santos.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Santos?
Gremio 3-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gremio 44%, draw 24%, Santos 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.