Mirassol FC 1-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.8
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.23
X/2
9%
5.74
X/X
10%
3.65
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.38
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 36%
+23% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.81/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.28
+76% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.3 Crosses 16.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fluminense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.11.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
09.10.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-0
AWAY Fluminense
0.51 xG 0.60
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
208 Passes 498
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC edged past Fluminense 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 33% of the ball to Fluminense's 67%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.51 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.00 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Fluminense?

Mirassol FC 1-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 43%, draw 25%, Fluminense 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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