Flamengo 0-3 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.25
X/2
11%
9.15
X/X
10%
4.34
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
8%
7.63
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.88
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.1 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
19.10.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 3-2 HT 3-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
25.05.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-2 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
11.08.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
08.08.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
01.08.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
0-3
AWAY Palmeiras
1.12 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
406 Passes 487
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
25 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras cruised past Flamengo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Flamengo had 47% of the ball to Palmeiras's 53%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.12 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Flamengo and 0.67 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Palmeiras?

Flamengo 0-3 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 51%, draw 25%, Palmeiras 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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