Palmeiras vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 0-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo squeezed past Palmeiras 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Flamengo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Palmeiras had 40% of the ball to Flamengo's 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.82 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Palmeiras and 1.33 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
Palmeiras 0-1 Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 36%, draw 33%, Flamengo 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.