Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-5 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
16%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.50/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
+30% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 25.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Kagoshima United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
280 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-1 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2-3
11.10.2025 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
23.03.2025 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
26.08.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
21.05.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-2 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JPK
04.05.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-5
AWAY Kagoshima United
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United cruised past Giravanz Kitakyushu 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 49% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 51%, shots finished 7-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.33 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-5 Kagoshima United in the JAP2-3 on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 20%, draw 26%, Kagoshima United 54%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5
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