IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 55%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.30/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.18
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
16.3 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 Passes 360
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2026 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-3 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
09.11.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
26.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
21.07.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
11.02.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
26.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-1
AWAY Backa Topola
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd and Backa Topola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 47% of the ball to Backa Topola's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.33 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 21%, draw 26%, Backa Topola 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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