Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-5
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies swept aside Phoenix Rising 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 47% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 53%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.60 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 59%, draw 22%, Phoenix Rising 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.