Miami FC vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Miami FC v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Miami FC vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
Miami FC 4-3 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Miami FC nicked a narrow win over Louisville City 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Louisville City carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Miami FC had 39% of the ball to Louisville City's 61%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 1.56 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miami FC and 2.83 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Miami FC vs Louisville City?
Miami FC 4-3 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 21%, draw 21%, Louisville City 59%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Louisville City) went the other way.