New Mexico United 1-0 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.19
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
12.0 Crosses 15.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Mexico United
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.23 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-2 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
24.03.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 4-0 HT 1-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
03.09.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
15.05.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-2 HT 0-1 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
13.07.2021 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New Mexico United
1-0
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.10 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
360 Passes 273
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Mexico United nicked a narrow win over Charleston Battery 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day New Mexico United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, New Mexico United had 54% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 46%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New Mexico United and 1.60 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?

New Mexico United 1-0 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 34%, draw 27%, Charleston Battery 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ BTTS Yes
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