San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
San Antonio
USLP
3-1
HT 2-0
San Antonio
USLP
San Antonio 2-1 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio squeezed past Sacramento Republic 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; San Antonio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Antonio had 42% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 58%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.79 to 2.46 — on chances, Sacramento Republic could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Antonio and 1.83 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
San Antonio 2-1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 40%, draw 29%, Sacramento Republic 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.