Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-5
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 34% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 66%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.50 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 52%, draw 22%, Phoenix Rising 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5 went the other way.