AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.77
2-3 Goals
41%
2.16
4-5 Goals
23%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
76%
-13.4pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.9pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 12%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.00/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +118%
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
517 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar
2-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar edged past Aris Saloniki 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 63% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 37%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Aris Saloniki?

AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Aris Saloniki in the Friendlies on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 62%, draw 22%, Aris Saloniki 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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