NAC Breda 1-2 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.15/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/3.27
-32% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
2W-0D-0L
AWAY OFI
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners
25.07.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-2 OFI OFI HAZ
01.08.2014 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
1-2
AWAY OFI
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI squeezed past NAC Breda 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day OFI made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, NAC Breda had 56% of the ball to OFI's 44%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, NAC Breda had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for NAC Breda and 1.00 for OFI.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs OFI?

NAC Breda 1-2 OFI in the Friendlies on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 37%, draw 28%, OFI 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NAC Breda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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