PSV Eindhoven vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSV Eindhoven v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals
PSV Eindhoven vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
FC Eindhoven
HAZ
4-0
HT 3-0
FC Eindhoven
HAZ
0-3
HT 0-0
PSV Eindhoven
HAZ
PSV Eindhoven 3-2 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven squeezed past FC Eindhoven 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 63% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 37%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 3.70 to 1.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSV Eindhoven's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.33 for FC Eindhoven.
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs FC Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven 3-2 FC Eindhoven in the Friendlies on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs FC Eindhoven?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 61%, draw 22%, FC Eindhoven 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.