Botafogo 0-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.24
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
18%
4.53
X/2
13%
9.45
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.65
2/2
11%
7.14
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.63/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.18
+28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.2 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vitoria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.66 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 Passes 295
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
17.07.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
24.11.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
12.07.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
23.05.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BRK
03.05.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
0-0
AWAY Vitoria
1.45 xG 0.45
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
304 Passes 228
34 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo and Vitoria fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.45 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botafogo and 0.33 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Vitoria?

Botafogo 0-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 46%, draw 26%, Vitoria 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
24 Jul 2026
01:30 Corinthians vs Remo Analysis →