CSKA Moskova 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
47%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.85
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
14%
4.6
X/2
5%
7.19
X/X
11%
4.11
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
15%
5.68
2/X
11%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -12%
1.46/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.44
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.9 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.31 xG 0.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 Passes 182
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
40 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
28.09.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
18.09.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
27.08.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
28.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
2-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
2.25 xG 1.52
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
454 Passes 190
22 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova edged past Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.25 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

CSKA Moskova 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 45%, draw 29%, Baltika Kaliningrad 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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