Hampton & Richmond 1-0 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.15/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-25% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
1-0
AWAY Salisbury
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond nicked a narrow win over Salisbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hampton & Richmond found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 41% of the ball to Salisbury's 59%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Salisbury?

Hampton & Richmond 1-0 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 39%, draw 26%, Salisbury 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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