St. Mirren 1-1 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.57
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 30% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.11
1/2
11%
21.45
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
8%
7.57
X/2
15%
4.89
X/X
11%
5.41
2/1
4%
31.0
2/2
21%
2.61
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.76
-15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
215 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
23.7 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.44
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
149 Passes 428
59% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
22.02.2025 Rangers Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
26.12.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.10.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.04.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
1-1
AWAY Rangers
1.01 xG 1.56
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
156 Passes 506
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren and Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 29% of the ball to Rangers's 71%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.01 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Mirren and 1.33 for Rangers.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Rangers?

St. Mirren 1-1 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 27%, draw 27%, Rangers 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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