Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 24 Aug 2026

Pumas UNAM
vs
Necaxa
📅24/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Pumas UNAM v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Necaxa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
373 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.03.2026 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
11.08.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
12.01.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-1 HT 2-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
14.09.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 2-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
01.02.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-2 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
28.10.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
PREVIEW Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Pumas UNAM edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Results have deserted Necaxa on their travels: 4 defeats in the last 5 league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Pumas UNAM against 1.17 for Necaxa.

Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Kick-off Time

Pumas UNAM play Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 24/08/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa is a Pumas UNAM win at about 49% probability, priced 1.9 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Pumas UNAM 49%, draw 27%, Necaxa 25%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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