Nacional de Football vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nacional de Football v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nacional de Football start as strong favourites on our numbers; Progreso's job is to make the game ugly early.
Nacional de Football's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5, while results have deserted Progreso on their travels: 4 defeats in the last 5 league games.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football have the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.50 for Progreso.
Nacional de Football vs Progreso Kick-off Time
Nacional de Football play Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/08/2026, kick-off 00:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Nacional de Football vs Progreso Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Nacional de Football vs Progreso is a Nacional de Football win at about 64% probability, priced 1.43 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Nacional de Football 64%, draw 19%, Progreso 17%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.