FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.18
Over 2.5
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.2pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 49%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.23
+0% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.05.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
12.04.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.11.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
30.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
04.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-3
AWAY FC Levadia
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia edged past FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 37% of the ball to FC Levadia's 63%, shots finished 13-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.17 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 28%, draw 23%, FC Levadia 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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