Carabobo 3-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +61%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Monagas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.77 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 252
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
17.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
09.03.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
14.11.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
31.10.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
09.08.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
3-1
AWAY Monagas
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo got the better of Monagas 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Carabobo had 54% of the ball to Monagas's 46%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carabobo and 0.67 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Monagas?

Carabobo 3-1 Monagas in the VENK on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 46%, draw 25%, Monagas 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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