Ferencvaros 1-0 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.01
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.57
X/2
11%
5.35
X/X
17%
4.03
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
13%
3.78
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 39%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.01/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.84
+37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.0 Crosses 14.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-0
AWAY Nice
1.74 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
313 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros nicked a narrow win over Nice 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ferencvaros found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 47% of the ball to Nice's 53%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.74 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Nice?

Ferencvaros 1-0 Nice in the UEFA Europa League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 35%, draw 31%, Nice 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Under 2.5
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