Roma vs Dynamo Kiev Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Dynamo Kiev — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Dynamo Kiev Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-3
Roma
ŞMP
2-0
HT 1-0
Dynamo Kiev
ŞMP
2-0
HT 0-0
Roma
ŞMP
0-3
HT 0-1
Dynamo Kiev
ŞMP
Roma 1-0 Dynamo Kiev — Actual Match Statistics
Roma edged past Dynamo Kiev 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Roma had 61% of the ball to Dynamo Kiev's 39%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.35 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roma and 1.50 for Dynamo Kiev.
What was the final score of Roma vs Dynamo Kiev?
Roma 1-0 Dynamo Kiev in the UEFA Europa League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Dynamo Kiev?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Roma 58%, draw 23%, Dynamo Kiev 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.