PAOK 2-2 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.51
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.38
X/2
15%
7.93
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
11%
23.6
2/2
9%
5.76
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.10/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.47
-35% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
Crosses 14.2
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-2
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.53 xG 2.72
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
547 Passes 127
86% Pass Accuracy 61%
49 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK and Viktoria Plzen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was PAOK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PAOK had 75% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 25%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.53 to 2.72.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Viktoria Plzen?

PAOK 2-2 Viktoria Plzen in the UEFA Europa League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PAOK 44%, draw 25%, Viktoria Plzen 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5
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