Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-2 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.06
1/2
4%
24.85
1/X
9%
16.65
X/1
7%
9.73
X/2
18%
3.76
X/X
7%
4.83
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.17
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 59%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.00/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.50
-71% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.3 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-2
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.51 xG 1.26
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
285 Passes 548
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad squeezed past Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 37% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 63%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.51 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Sociedad?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-2 Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 27%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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