CD Tapatio vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Tapatio v Celaya — Team-Based Signals
CD Tapatio vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Celaya
MEK2
CD Tapatio squeezed past Celaya 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; CD Tapatio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.33 for Celaya.
What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Celaya?
CD Tapatio 3-2 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Celaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 37%, draw 23%, Celaya 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celaya) went the other way.