Carabobo 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.62
Over 2.5
32%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
4.38
6+ Goals
7%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 41% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
58%
+10.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
42%
-10.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.5pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.41/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.89
+0% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.6 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 323
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
02.06.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 HT 0-2 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
11.05.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.02.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 HT 1-2 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
19.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.80 xG 0.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
284 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo nicked a narrow win over Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carabobo had 51% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 49%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.80 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carabobo and 0.83 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Carabobo 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 47%, draw 32%, Academia Puerto Cabello 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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