Alfreton Town vs Needham Market Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Needham Market — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Needham Market Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Alfreton Town 2-3 Needham Market — Actual Match Statistics
Needham Market nicked a narrow win over Alfreton Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 45% of the ball to Needham Market's 55%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.00 for Needham Market.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Needham Market?
Alfreton Town 2-3 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Needham Market?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 49%, draw 29%, Needham Market 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.