Brackley Town 4-1 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.64
Over
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.5
2-3
42%
1.71
4-5
17%
4.2
6+
10%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town The Market 31%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.39/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.86
-8% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
105 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 108 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
06.01.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
14.10.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-1 HT 3-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
03.12.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
26.03.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
4-1
AWAY Spennymoor Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town cruised past Spennymoor Town 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brackley Town had 51% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 49%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brackley Town and 1.00 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Brackley Town 4-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 45%, draw 30%, Spennymoor Town 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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