Spennymoor Town 2-2 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.75
Over
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.98
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
19%
3.91
6+
7%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town The Market 37%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.47/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.03
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
14.10.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-1 HT 3-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
03.12.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
26.03.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
09.11.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
2-2
AWAY Brackley Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town and Brackley Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 51% of the ball to Brackley Town's 49%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.67 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Brackley Town?

Spennymoor Town 2-2 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 42%, draw 30%, Brackley Town 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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