Scarborough Athletic 2-4 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.68
Over
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.58
2-3
36%
1.71
4-5
25%
4.06
6+
11%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester The Market 42%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.15/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.38
-13% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chester
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 3-1 HT 2-0 Chester Chester FAK
26.08.2024 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 2-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
10.02.2024 Chester Chester 3-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.08.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
18.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.11.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-3 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2-4
AWAY Chester
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester got the better of Scarborough Athletic 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 51% of the ball to Chester's 49%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 2.00 for Chester.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Chester?

Scarborough Athletic 2-4 Chester in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 34%, draw 22%, Chester 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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