Scarborough Athletic 3-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
202 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Chester
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 2-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
10.02.2024 Chester Chester 3-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.08.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
18.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.11.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-3 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
3-1
AWAY Chester
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic beat Chester 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Scarborough Athletic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 48% of the ball to Chester's 52%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 2.20 for Chester.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Chester?

Scarborough Athletic 3-1 Chester in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 36%, draw 28%, Chester 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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