Chester 3-2 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.99
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.67/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.64
+10% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Chester Chester 3-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.08.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
18.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.11.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-3 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
3-2
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chester vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester squeezed past Scarborough Athletic 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chester had 63% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 37%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chester and 1.00 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Chester vs Scarborough Athletic?

Chester 3-2 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chester 44%, draw 23%, Scarborough Athletic 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ BTTS No
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