Cheltenham Town 2-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.46
2-3
42%
1.72
4-5
20%
4.29
6+
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.18
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
12%
14.15
X/1
9%
6.59
X/2
11%
4.79
X/X
8%
3.97
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.17
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City The Market 46%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.15/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.20
+11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.2 Crosses 19.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Salford City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
194 Passes 231
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 2-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town FAK
14.09.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
10.01.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İNTK
20.03.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
12.12.2020 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
14.09.2019 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
2-1
AWAY Salford City
2.28 xG 1.39
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
118 Passes 294
47% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town edged past Salford City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cheltenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 37% of the ball to Salford City's 63%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.28 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cheltenham Town and 0.83 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Salford City?

Cheltenham Town 2-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 34%, draw 27%, Salford City 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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