West Bromwich 5-1 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.07
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.57
6+
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
13%
3.95
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1
11%
23.85
2/2
11%
9.02
2/X
10%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth The Market 21%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.73/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.00
-14% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 67%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
24.6 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.14 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
277 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 6
15.09.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-3 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
11.04.2009 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-2 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
07.12.2008 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
05.04.2008 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
17.12.2005 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
20.08.2005 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-1 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
5-1
AWAY Portsmouth
2.99 xG 1.70
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
478 Passes 259
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich cruised past Portsmouth 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 62% of the ball to Portsmouth's 38%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.99 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for West Bromwich and 1.00 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Portsmouth?

West Bromwich 5-1 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 49%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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