Baglan Dragons 6-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.1
Over Pick
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
31%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+12.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United The Market 23%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +30%
1.44/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.17
-33% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +86%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Goytre United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
06.08.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 0-1 HT 0-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
27.01.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
15.12.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons cruised past Goytre United 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baglan Dragons as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baglan Dragons had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.33 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Goytre United?

Baglan Dragons 6-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 44%, draw 23%, Goytre United 33%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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