Famalicao 0-0 Estrela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 32% vs market 31.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.37
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.7
X/1
18%
4.1
X/2
12%
8.89
X/X
12%
4.31
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
6%
7.67
2/X
7%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.01
-19% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.1 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estrela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.18 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
256 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2024 Estrela Estrela 0-3 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
16.03.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Estrela Estrela POR
29.10.2023 Estrela Estrela 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
0-0
AWAY Estrela
0.72 xG 0.12
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
450 Passes 144
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 3
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Estrela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao and Estrela played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Famalicao had 71% of the ball to Estrela's 29%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.72 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Famalicao and 0.33 for Estrela.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Estrela?

Famalicao 0-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Estrela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 46%, draw 31%, Estrela 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Famalicao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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