Farense vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-2
Farense
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Farense
PORLC
2-1
HT 2-1
Farense
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR2
Farense 1-2 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Ave nicked a narrow win over Farense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Farense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Farense had 54% of the ball to Rio Ave's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.07 to 1.52 — on chances, Farense could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Farense and 1.67 for Rio Ave.
What was the final score of Farense vs Rio Ave?
Farense 1-2 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Rio Ave?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farense 42%, draw 26%, Rio Ave 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.