Turan Tovuz 2-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
1.60/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.98
+31% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
04.10.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
16.03.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
20.10.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-4 HT 1-3 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.08.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-4 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
18.02.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz edged past Sumqayıt 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Turan Tovuz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.33 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt?

Turan Tovuz 2-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 39%, draw 32%, Sumqayıt 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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25 Jan 2026
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